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Predicting March Madness Round-of-64 Upsets by Maria Chapman ’23, Mathematics Colloquium

Wed, November 30th, 2022
1:00 pm
- 1:45 pm

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Predicting March Madness Round-of-64 Upsets by Maria Chapman ’23, Mathematics Colloquium, Wednesday, November 30, 1 – 1:45 pm, North Science Building 113, Wachenheim.

Abstract:  Can we predict rare events?  Every year, millions of people create a bracket for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, only to find it busted after an unforeseen first-round upset.  A Balance Optimization Subset Selection model using match-up statistics improves the accuracy of round-of-64 upset predictions compared to previous models. 

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