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Mathematics Colloquium by Blake Bullwinkel '20, Wednesday, February 19, 1 - 1:45 pm

Wed, February 19th, 2020
1:00 pm
- 1:45 pm

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Early Epidemiological Model Parameters for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) by Blake Bullwinkel ’20, Wednesday, February 19, 1 – 1:45 pm, Stetson Court Classroom 101, Mathematics Colloquium

Abstract:  On December 29, 2019, the first cases of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) were identified by local hospitals in Wuhan, China.  Since then, the number of confirmed cases has grown exponentially, spreading to other Chinese cities and several neighboring countries.  In this talk, we will analyze the most recent data using standard compartmental models to estimate key epidemiological parameters.  This will allow us to compare the current outbreak to the 2003 SARS epidemic, simulate how a similar outbreak would evolve at Williams, and discuss how the probability of a widespread epidemic could be minimized.

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